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AltaiDM's avatar

Just about every conflict we've fought since the Mexican-American War has been expeditionary campaigns of expansionism.

We managed to win World War One by deploying our troops after both the Central Powers and Allies had been exhausted from four years of a grinding war of attrition. Even with those odds favoring us, we still lost 100,000 men during the last ten months of that war.

Same for World War Two:

1) 75% of Nazi Germany's forces were confronted and destroyed by the Soviet Red Army.

2) The Lion's share of the Imperial Japanese Army were bogged down in an bloody stalemate against both Jiang's Nationalist and Mao's Red Army forces in China with no end in sight for Japan. Even before Pearl Harbor, the IJA had lost tens of thousands in the China Theater.

Since 1945, every foreign conflict we've fought overseas has resulted in either a stalemate or strategic defeat.

The Korean War is considered a stalemate in the West. But from my reading of that "police action", China's primary objective was to prevent the U.S. from driving up to the Yalu River and setting up a hostile proxy regime next to the Manchurian province.

In that regard, the CPV Army was successful, if costly.

In more recent times.......a suicide bomber ( a drug dealer who was known to the U.S. Marines) killed over 300 Marines and forced Reagan to withdraw from Lebanon.

Then there was Somalia. During our bid to capture the Warlord Mohammed Aidid, our use of the firepower for close air support caused plenty of collateral damage and many Somalis who were normally neutral or even hostile to the Aidid faction picked up arms and helped the Warlord drive our forces out during the Battle of Mogadishu.

Aside from Desert Storm, Grenada and Panama our record for winning foreign wars has been abysmal simply because most Americans don't know what real war is like when it breaks out on the home front. Which we haven't seen since our War Between the States.

For many ill informed Americans, war is only something that happens to "those other people" in places none of them can even find on a map.

Aside from the DPP, I suspect there is very little desire among most people on Taiwan - or Japan for that matter since their largest trading partner is China - to get dragged into another Pacific War.

I suspect that if the neocons choose to spark a war in the South China Sea, the Chinese would pay whatever price that’s required to prevent another Century of Humiliation. Up to, and including, nuclear war.

That will also mean war with Russia. The symbiotic relationship between China and Russia and their shared vision of the future will leave Moscow little choice and remaining neutral won't be an option for the Kremlin.

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pyrrhus's avatar

Encyclopedic article! As far as war goes, I don't see any way that the US could fight China...the logistics are just impossible...But I don't think China needs to take Taiwan anytime soon, it will eventually drift into being a separate province of China as the US withdraws from distant obligations to focus on its natural sphere of influence....and that's the good case for the US...Also Trump likes to make threats, but doesn't go to war...we can never take his words at face value.....

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