China has taken advantage of the fact that the United States has an albatross around its neck, called Israel, which forces it to remain trapped in the Middle East. However, if the US and Israel manage to fragment Iran as they have done with Libya and Syria, the Belt and Road Initiative project will also suffer a major strategic blow.
agree to a limited extent. I am more optimistic. I think the US is stepping into a bear trap in Iran if it gets directly involved. its overthrow of Iraq, Libya and Syria governments has not yielded much benefits and none could be said to be a proxy yet (Syria is a case TBD). any turbulence in the middle east is bad to BRI but cannot be avoided as long as agents of chaoes like the US and Israel are free to roam. China must face down in a final battle against the US to liberate the world from tyranny but it has to be strategic and choose the timing and place.
Bravo, Bravo, Bravo Hua Bin. You are such a safe harbor for high quality analysis, information, and knowledge sharing. As we are being frogmarched into a WWIII fresh hell, you and Kevin Barrett remain my first-stop go-to reliable cogniscienti. Keep up your great work of maintaining the elevation of focus at the highest standards. Your friend, Cat
thanks Cat. I appreciate the kind words. Kevin is a friend and a much more knowledgable source when it comes to Muslim and its struggle with israel and the zionists. He is a passionalte and brave spokesman for the downtrotted. It's great you follow his work. I also suggest Mike Whitney's work. Both are on the Unz Review.
FYI - For over three years I was Kevin Barrett's monthly co-host for his False Flag Weekly News show. We were quite a team delivering novel, one-of-a-kind truth information and commentary found virtually no where else. Our legacy of videos are brimming with information to be watched long after the weekly news cycles have past and are a valuable resource to history in the making.
fantastic. I have always been a fan of Kevin's work since the 911 truth days. He hasn't given up and my hats off to both of you. In my mind, there is zero doubt it is a false flag the jews and dark elements of the US national security state launched against innocent Americans and blamed on the Muslims for their geopolitical and financial purposes. May they be punished for the evil soon.
Are false flags even a thing anymore? They're doing out in the open already everything a false flag would lead to. So, why is there even a need to intermediate such a possibility with the discussion of an absent referent (i.e., a false flag) when the real thing is now before us 24/7 in genocidal technicolor.
totally agree. I think the fig leaf is not needed anymore. Another sign the empire is coming to an end and the criminals know it. false flag is an overhead cost at this point. why not come to do your thing regardless what others think? take over Greenland, steal the minerals in Ukraine, terrorist attacks in Russia, Iran. now everything is in the open. good to see the criminal empire put a gun on its own head and blow it away.
Love your essays Hua but this analysis is flawed. Let’s take a simple probabilistic outcome approach.
BRICS - it is widely recognised that (I)ndia has been replaced by (I)ran due to its crucial geographical location as a key node in Eurasian integration. (R)ussia has been under NATO attack for several years. (I)ran is now under NATO attack. See the pattern? (C)hina is next.
Russia relied heavily on Iranian sanctions expertise and also its drone weaponry. If Iran falls, the ME will be rendered a no go area for Russia/ China, and China relies on Iranian/ ME energy and access. Joining or supporting Russia/ China will be seen by the global south as a trip to the slaughter house. Any other outcome is wishful thinking. The Arabs and other quislings will kiss the imperial boot so fast, their lips will bruise. Faced with an ‘offer they can’t refuse’ they will disconnect from Russia China faster than the European vassals did.
A CIA/ Mossad managed ‘Julani’ Iran willl flood Central Asia with terrorists, and thereby Russia and China with destabilisation.
The next domino will be Pakistan, killing CHINA’s Belt and Road flagship and creating even more Julani jihaddis. If necessary, India will be destabilised in order to reach China’s Asian borders. India will have no chance.
The planned war on Russia and China will not be easy kinetic, but asymmetric terrorist. It is already happening. The cia have declared that the Ukraine war will now go asymmetrical.
The Anglo Zionist empire does not care that West Asia will be a dystopian blood bath, look at Libya, Syria, Iraq destroyed as modern states. Somalia, Sudan, Ethiopia in the firing line.
The Anglo Zionist pathway has ALWAYS been asymmetric elite capture and societal fracture and destruction with terrorism. And when they do capture you, the ethno supremacist genocidal elite leave you with nothing, like locusts, they have consumed and emiserated host populations in Europe / US and devastated captured or enslaved everywhere else through neo colonialism. So Surrender doesn’t pay either.
Neither Russia, nor China will be able to withstand this asymmetric terrorist onslaught because it will require such savagery that even success will poison them irreversibly, slow or stop their economic development, and turn their populations into savages also.
SO WHAT TO DO? The only defence against asymmetric terrorist attack is to create strong mutually supportive and internally thriving international communities surrounding you, as China has been doing and Russia needs to.
Therefore Russia / China/ Pakistan CANNOT allow Iran to fall. The future of their existence as independent societal states depends on it.
Stopping Iran from falling does not involve direct involvement, but logistical support, rebuilding AD, and clearly REDLINING and nuclear escalation by the empire, whilst providing technical means to defend against nuclear escalation. Victory means keeping Iran standing and independent and exhausting the empire with a long war. A long war HERE AND NOW changes the course of human development and ushers in the multi polar world.
It sucks resources from the Russia and China theatres and demonstrates its own limitations to the empire. A long war that results in the complete expulsion of the empire from west Asia must be the goal.
With the expulsion of the empire from west Asia, the region can concentrate on building a thriving and strong community.
The above is a simple probabilistic approach and hostage to inevitable technical constraints from not knowing the full facts on real capabilities, but the outcomes pathways are undoubtedly the likely pathways.
no question China and Russia don't want Iran to be defeated but I have a completely different take on the war and the implications. I am far more optimistic about the outcome being negative, instead of positive, to the US if it steps in directly. If it doesn't, Israel won't prevail anyway.
Rather than isolating China and Russia, the US would step into a bear trap and incur another strategic disaster. It will be easier to defeat when the truely decisive battle comes - i.e. the direct war with China. The Iran Israel war is a mere foreplay.
Also China's relationship with Iran is far more nuanced and complex than outsiders assume at the surface level. Frankly Iran is of secondary importance to China and not a core interest or close partner. Iran has yet to earn China's trust and support with its poor judgement flirting with the pro-Israel pro-US Modi government in India.
I'll elaborate in my coming piece to finish my analysis of the situation. If nothing else, I promise a very different perspective than most readers seem to share.
It would be a bit tricky for china to directly intervene right now. If chinese fighters just shoot down israeli f-35s, then of course Iran would win. However, this would put china very close to war with the US and would be tricky.
A year ago, it would have probably worked if iran just got j-10 from china and then figured out how to use it. I still don't understand why this didn't happen.
China offered to sell Iran fighters and air defense systems. Iranians opted to go with Russian platforms and its domestic systems. I don't know what their calculations were but judging by the performance of Chinese systems vs. the west during the Pakistan India air war, I think Iran made a mistake. Chinese weapons have far superiors sensor, avionics, and data links than Russian systems but of course Russian weaponry is better known as it is far more active in the global arms market for a long time. Modern air wars will be vastly different from past assumptions.
I do think China will do what it can to help Iran fend off the attacks. That said, China's relationship with Iran is mainly commercial rather than military and China lacks power projection in the middle east to intervene more forcefully. I could be wrong but I never bought into Brzezinski's theory of the three way alliance between China, Russia and Iran. His idea is 30 years old and things have changed a lot. such alliances are as strong as the weakest link, which Iran is unfortunately.
Also instead of China, I would argue the US is the one that is being isolated globally by virtue of its duplicity and unconditional support of Israeli crimes. why interrupt an enemy when he is making a mistake? China can let things percolate a little longer before committing to a course of action.
Mastro: ...costly military interventions with little strategic rationale. As she puts it: “that's how great powers decline.”
The lady confuses symptom for disease. The US decline is an inevitable consequence of de-industrialization with consequent loss of capabilities to make real goods, create jobs, and generate revenue for the government. The "environmental" movement may have been well intentioned, but the consequences are fatal.
But the world is inter-connected. China has built itself very impressively into the cutting edge Workshop of the World ... heavily dependent on selling exports to the declining EU and US, both of which are now getting restive about Chinese competition. Any decline in Chinese exports to the EU & US will result in negative consequences rippling through China's economy -- potentially destabilizing China.
The EU & US Ruling Classes are pushing wars in the Ukraine and Iran as a distraction from their failures at home. China has a strong interest in slowing the decline of the EU & US until China can wean itself off its heavy dependence on exports. War in Iran is a no-win distraction for China.
I think you are right the decline of the empire has many roots, military overreach being one of them. The US suffers many other problems and unlikely to resolve any as far as the eye can see.
I am more optimistic about China's resilience. Sure the west has been important markets but there are more fish in the sea. Also the dependency is hardly one way. otherwise, the US wouldn't have lost its tariff war with China so spetacularly. Europe is simply not a hard power and a mere lapdog to the US. China's economy may suffer from a slowing world economy, but so would everyone else. As long as it wins the long term technology battle and continue on its current trajectory, China is going to be the long term winner in the changing world order.
MUST LISTEN!! HIGH LEVEL OF BRILLIANT Communications to the alt masses.. Candace Owens will go down in history for this talk. Equal to JFK' acclaimed American University disarmanent speech IMO.
As Chinese cargo planes come and go in Iran, I look forward to your coming analysis. The latest polling shows a majority of Israel's American goyim - including its most rabid Republicans - are opposing war with Iran. American neofascist leaders are always in a hurry, while civilizations like China and Iran patiently bide their time and wear down their enemies.
China has taken advantage of the fact that the United States has an albatross around its neck, called Israel, which forces it to remain trapped in the Middle East. However, if the US and Israel manage to fragment Iran as they have done with Libya and Syria, the Belt and Road Initiative project will also suffer a major strategic blow.
agree to a limited extent. I am more optimistic. I think the US is stepping into a bear trap in Iran if it gets directly involved. its overthrow of Iraq, Libya and Syria governments has not yielded much benefits and none could be said to be a proxy yet (Syria is a case TBD). any turbulence in the middle east is bad to BRI but cannot be avoided as long as agents of chaoes like the US and Israel are free to roam. China must face down in a final battle against the US to liberate the world from tyranny but it has to be strategic and choose the timing and place.
Bravo, Bravo, Bravo Hua Bin. You are such a safe harbor for high quality analysis, information, and knowledge sharing. As we are being frogmarched into a WWIII fresh hell, you and Kevin Barrett remain my first-stop go-to reliable cogniscienti. Keep up your great work of maintaining the elevation of focus at the highest standards. Your friend, Cat
thanks Cat. I appreciate the kind words. Kevin is a friend and a much more knowledgable source when it comes to Muslim and its struggle with israel and the zionists. He is a passionalte and brave spokesman for the downtrotted. It's great you follow his work. I also suggest Mike Whitney's work. Both are on the Unz Review.
FYI - For over three years I was Kevin Barrett's monthly co-host for his False Flag Weekly News show. We were quite a team delivering novel, one-of-a-kind truth information and commentary found virtually no where else. Our legacy of videos are brimming with information to be watched long after the weekly news cycles have past and are a valuable resource to history in the making.
https://truthjihad.com/category/ffwn/
fantastic. I have always been a fan of Kevin's work since the 911 truth days. He hasn't given up and my hats off to both of you. In my mind, there is zero doubt it is a false flag the jews and dark elements of the US national security state launched against innocent Americans and blamed on the Muslims for their geopolitical and financial purposes. May they be punished for the evil soon.
Are false flags even a thing anymore? They're doing out in the open already everything a false flag would lead to. So, why is there even a need to intermediate such a possibility with the discussion of an absent referent (i.e., a false flag) when the real thing is now before us 24/7 in genocidal technicolor.
Hilarious
https://substack.com/@binkylarue/note/c-127054303?r=nxvs
thanks Cat. I loved it. No truer words have been spoken. The lady is fiery and eloquent - a true jem!
totally agree. I think the fig leaf is not needed anymore. Another sign the empire is coming to an end and the criminals know it. false flag is an overhead cost at this point. why not come to do your thing regardless what others think? take over Greenland, steal the minerals in Ukraine, terrorist attacks in Russia, Iran. now everything is in the open. good to see the criminal empire put a gun on its own head and blow it away.
Restacking a paywalled article without summarizing the paywalled part? Gee, thanks.
Love your essays Hua but this analysis is flawed. Let’s take a simple probabilistic outcome approach.
BRICS - it is widely recognised that (I)ndia has been replaced by (I)ran due to its crucial geographical location as a key node in Eurasian integration. (R)ussia has been under NATO attack for several years. (I)ran is now under NATO attack. See the pattern? (C)hina is next.
Russia relied heavily on Iranian sanctions expertise and also its drone weaponry. If Iran falls, the ME will be rendered a no go area for Russia/ China, and China relies on Iranian/ ME energy and access. Joining or supporting Russia/ China will be seen by the global south as a trip to the slaughter house. Any other outcome is wishful thinking. The Arabs and other quislings will kiss the imperial boot so fast, their lips will bruise. Faced with an ‘offer they can’t refuse’ they will disconnect from Russia China faster than the European vassals did.
A CIA/ Mossad managed ‘Julani’ Iran willl flood Central Asia with terrorists, and thereby Russia and China with destabilisation.
The next domino will be Pakistan, killing CHINA’s Belt and Road flagship and creating even more Julani jihaddis. If necessary, India will be destabilised in order to reach China’s Asian borders. India will have no chance.
The planned war on Russia and China will not be easy kinetic, but asymmetric terrorist. It is already happening. The cia have declared that the Ukraine war will now go asymmetrical.
The Anglo Zionist empire does not care that West Asia will be a dystopian blood bath, look at Libya, Syria, Iraq destroyed as modern states. Somalia, Sudan, Ethiopia in the firing line.
The Anglo Zionist pathway has ALWAYS been asymmetric elite capture and societal fracture and destruction with terrorism. And when they do capture you, the ethno supremacist genocidal elite leave you with nothing, like locusts, they have consumed and emiserated host populations in Europe / US and devastated captured or enslaved everywhere else through neo colonialism. So Surrender doesn’t pay either.
Neither Russia, nor China will be able to withstand this asymmetric terrorist onslaught because it will require such savagery that even success will poison them irreversibly, slow or stop their economic development, and turn their populations into savages also.
SO WHAT TO DO? The only defence against asymmetric terrorist attack is to create strong mutually supportive and internally thriving international communities surrounding you, as China has been doing and Russia needs to.
Therefore Russia / China/ Pakistan CANNOT allow Iran to fall. The future of their existence as independent societal states depends on it.
Stopping Iran from falling does not involve direct involvement, but logistical support, rebuilding AD, and clearly REDLINING and nuclear escalation by the empire, whilst providing technical means to defend against nuclear escalation. Victory means keeping Iran standing and independent and exhausting the empire with a long war. A long war HERE AND NOW changes the course of human development and ushers in the multi polar world.
It sucks resources from the Russia and China theatres and demonstrates its own limitations to the empire. A long war that results in the complete expulsion of the empire from west Asia must be the goal.
With the expulsion of the empire from west Asia, the region can concentrate on building a thriving and strong community.
The above is a simple probabilistic approach and hostage to inevitable technical constraints from not knowing the full facts on real capabilities, but the outcomes pathways are undoubtedly the likely pathways.
no question China and Russia don't want Iran to be defeated but I have a completely different take on the war and the implications. I am far more optimistic about the outcome being negative, instead of positive, to the US if it steps in directly. If it doesn't, Israel won't prevail anyway.
Rather than isolating China and Russia, the US would step into a bear trap and incur another strategic disaster. It will be easier to defeat when the truely decisive battle comes - i.e. the direct war with China. The Iran Israel war is a mere foreplay.
Also China's relationship with Iran is far more nuanced and complex than outsiders assume at the surface level. Frankly Iran is of secondary importance to China and not a core interest or close partner. Iran has yet to earn China's trust and support with its poor judgement flirting with the pro-Israel pro-US Modi government in India.
I'll elaborate in my coming piece to finish my analysis of the situation. If nothing else, I promise a very different perspective than most readers seem to share.
It would be a bit tricky for china to directly intervene right now. If chinese fighters just shoot down israeli f-35s, then of course Iran would win. However, this would put china very close to war with the US and would be tricky.
A year ago, it would have probably worked if iran just got j-10 from china and then figured out how to use it. I still don't understand why this didn't happen.
China offered to sell Iran fighters and air defense systems. Iranians opted to go with Russian platforms and its domestic systems. I don't know what their calculations were but judging by the performance of Chinese systems vs. the west during the Pakistan India air war, I think Iran made a mistake. Chinese weapons have far superiors sensor, avionics, and data links than Russian systems but of course Russian weaponry is better known as it is far more active in the global arms market for a long time. Modern air wars will be vastly different from past assumptions.
A problem is that there's a big difference between protecting an ally with just minimal effort, and doing regime change operations.
I think the Chinese are at serious risk of being globally isolated under their current strategy.
I do think China will do what it can to help Iran fend off the attacks. That said, China's relationship with Iran is mainly commercial rather than military and China lacks power projection in the middle east to intervene more forcefully. I could be wrong but I never bought into Brzezinski's theory of the three way alliance between China, Russia and Iran. His idea is 30 years old and things have changed a lot. such alliances are as strong as the weakest link, which Iran is unfortunately.
Also instead of China, I would argue the US is the one that is being isolated globally by virtue of its duplicity and unconditional support of Israeli crimes. why interrupt an enemy when he is making a mistake? China can let things percolate a little longer before committing to a course of action.
Mastro: ...costly military interventions with little strategic rationale. As she puts it: “that's how great powers decline.”
The lady confuses symptom for disease. The US decline is an inevitable consequence of de-industrialization with consequent loss of capabilities to make real goods, create jobs, and generate revenue for the government. The "environmental" movement may have been well intentioned, but the consequences are fatal.
But the world is inter-connected. China has built itself very impressively into the cutting edge Workshop of the World ... heavily dependent on selling exports to the declining EU and US, both of which are now getting restive about Chinese competition. Any decline in Chinese exports to the EU & US will result in negative consequences rippling through China's economy -- potentially destabilizing China.
The EU & US Ruling Classes are pushing wars in the Ukraine and Iran as a distraction from their failures at home. China has a strong interest in slowing the decline of the EU & US until China can wean itself off its heavy dependence on exports. War in Iran is a no-win distraction for China.
I think you are right the decline of the empire has many roots, military overreach being one of them. The US suffers many other problems and unlikely to resolve any as far as the eye can see.
I am more optimistic about China's resilience. Sure the west has been important markets but there are more fish in the sea. Also the dependency is hardly one way. otherwise, the US wouldn't have lost its tariff war with China so spetacularly. Europe is simply not a hard power and a mere lapdog to the US. China's economy may suffer from a slowing world economy, but so would everyone else. As long as it wins the long term technology battle and continue on its current trajectory, China is going to be the long term winner in the changing world order.
MUST LISTEN!! HIGH LEVEL OF BRILLIANT Communications to the alt masses.. Candace Owens will go down in history for this talk. Equal to JFK' acclaimed American University disarmanent speech IMO.
https://www.youtube.com/live/_3f7lwSb14A?si=E6pUz4Pn2Yf_Pgfu
As Chinese cargo planes come and go in Iran, I look forward to your coming analysis. The latest polling shows a majority of Israel's American goyim - including its most rabid Republicans - are opposing war with Iran. American neofascist leaders are always in a hurry, while civilizations like China and Iran patiently bide their time and wear down their enemies.
This guy named Indi is also very, very good (although he's stuck in orthodox anti white thinking and totally misses Jewish supremacism angle)
Good war intel
https://indi.ca/iran-war-day-5-hitting-the-source-of-israels-power/
America Is The #3 Military Now.
Fucking losers.
https://indi.ca/america-is-the-3-military-now/