There are many comments on my last piece on the Iran Israel war - Iran’s predicament is largely a result of its follies.
As planned, I have been putting together the next installment detailing China’s likely position and the rationale. Hopefully I’ll publish the essay in the next 24 hours.
Meanwhile, I’d like to restack another piece whose perspective on the matter I share, written by Arnaud Bertrand whose Substack essays are usually very insightful.
He also referenced the comments (including a video clip) from Oriana Skylar Mastro, who was a Pentagon's strategic planner on China and now a professor at Stanford. I myself have followed Mastro’s books and lectures for a few years and respect her views, despite the fact she is a China hawk.
Unlike the run of mill China hawks found in US political and military establishment, Mastro has a good understanding of Chinese military strategies and capabilities and can offer insights far superior to the think-tank platitude you usually hear from Washington.
My own piece will address the China’s position from a few different angles but I certainly subscribe to Bertrand’s views here.
China has taken advantage of the fact that the United States has an albatross around its neck, called Israel, which forces it to remain trapped in the Middle East. However, if the US and Israel manage to fragment Iran as they have done with Libya and Syria, the Belt and Road Initiative project will also suffer a major strategic blow.
Bravo, Bravo, Bravo Hua Bin. You are such a safe harbor for high quality analysis, information, and knowledge sharing. As we are being frogmarched into a WWIII fresh hell, you and Kevin Barrett remain my first-stop go-to reliable cogniscienti. Keep up your great work of maintaining the elevation of focus at the highest standards. Your friend, Cat